COMMENTS: 15-17th General Election High Risks in Malaysia

Badawi Administration has shown many weaknesses through the recent Hindraf, BERSIH and Bar council street demonstrations. In the political arena, those with upper hand will gain control. The lesser political opponents will be an advantage to the ruling government. I would say the 12 ^th GE will be held to avoid former DPM like Anwar to create much strife with the BN government. If Badawi is prepared to face the political foe, then the GE will be postponed till Anwar is back to politics in full force.

 

Najib or Nazri will be next successor for Badawi (to follow the R.A.H.M.A.N. principle). For Anwar, he would be the successor of Tun Dr. M, but history tells us that the post was wrongfully taken away from him. With the recent scandal of VK Lingam video clip or fixing the appointment of judges, it is likely the trial on Anwar was not carried out without government's interference. Hence the task of "fair and justice" is merely words on the lips and far from the truth.

 

Whatever may be the outcome of next GE, the rights of the Chinese community must be preserved and practised without fears. The quiet Indians have shown their full colors to the whole world. Now the Chinese should stand up in Parliament and speak out loud and clear. The New Economic Policy (NEP) is a "torn in the flesh" which sounds good to distribute the wealth of the rich to the poor but its main intention is to preserve the rights of the Malays to enjoy special rights over the Chinese and Indians.

 

"OT" from Sarawak Talk has posted a good article on the general overview of Malaysian politics of those eyeing for PM post.

 

===============================

15/16/17 GE High Risk
Posted by OT on December 09, 2007 at 12:37:57

It is a critical time between the exchange of Badawi Administration and this former UM NO strong man (now the spiritual leader of PKR).

If Anwar miss 12th G.E. (that to be held before 31st March 2008 ), the implications could be:

1. Badawi Administration is WEAK (lacking of confidence)
2. Anwar will miss a 5 years term that before he can face off Badawi (who is now 68 years old).

Aftermath

1. Badawi Administration is expected to continue his leader (as according to Tan Sri Rashid who predicted BN will continue ruling this country).

2. Badawi will be 73 years old (before 13 G.E) and he is or may not continue his leadership for Malaysia . If he passed the baton to Najib / Nazri (R.A.H.M.A.N.) before 13th G.E., he is then wisely avoid to face ANWAR in the Parliament (assuming both Badawi and Anwar win this coming election respectively.)

3. Najib / Nazri will become the successor of Badawi. If he is Najib, who is now 54, (by then he will be 59), I think Najib will begin his long ruling leadership like Mahathir before he steps down.

I predict, he will choose to stay until 75 (provided BN is still in government).

His assistance can be Nazri or Hisham. I think he will hand pick Hisham who is now 45.

4. When Najib passed his baton to Hisham, he will become the 7th PM of Malaysia by the age of 65. He may pick KJ as his assistance (provided this man willing to become Hisham assistant 'forever').

Assuming Hisham wishes to become the 7th PM until 75-80, and he passes his baton to KJ.

5. KJ will become the 8th PM at the age of (70-75), I feel KJ is very unlikely to accept this !

WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF THIS IS THE RULES?

1. During 12-13th/14th G.E., Mahathir may be completely 'quite'. This can affect the remaining power from his faction.

2. There is only possibility to choose either Hisham or KJ to be the 7th or 8th PM of Malaysia , so, UM NO is very likely to enter HIGH RISK internal conflict in 15th/16th/17th G.E.

Which is also the greatest challenge of UM NO leadership in BN.
(that directly affect the continuity ruling of BN for Malaysia).

So, I foresee 15th/16th/17th G.E. will enter into HIGHLY CRITICAL period. (Of course, Badawi may not be there any longer, he is more worry of his present situation).

Unfortunately, Hisham and KJ age are too close, both are potential future leader of Malaysia (7th / 8th PM), but only one of them can success.

This is the biggest problem coming along the way. Good luck.